New Mexico
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
36  Luke Caldwell JR 31:22
137  Pat Zacharias SO 32:01
169  Adam Bitchell JR 32:08
175  Elmar Engholm FR 32:09
184  Sean Stam JR 32:11
307  Sam Evans JR 32:29
498  Donovan Torres FR 32:54
727  Pierre Malherbe SO 33:20
1,134  Logan Rosenberg SR 33:58
National Rank #18 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #4 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.1%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 1.5%
Top 10 at Nationals 10.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 55.7%


Regional Champion 0.4%
Top 5 in Regional 99.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Luke Caldwell Pat Zacharias Adam Bitchell Elmar Engholm Sean Stam Sam Evans Donovan Torres Pierre Malherbe Logan Rosenberg
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 688 31:41 32:10 32:36 32:59 32:11 32:28 32:59 33:22 34:38
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 514 31:48 31:53 31:47 32:22 31:44 32:55 32:53
Mountain West Championships 10/26 665 31:55 32:11 32:16 32:12 32:17 32:45 32:41 33:15 33:24
Mountain Region Championships 11/09 445 31:24 31:38 31:56 32:58 31:51 32:05 32:51
NCAA Championship 11/17 608 31:02 32:13 31:49 33:30 32:10 33:22





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.1% 19.0 471 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.6 4.6 4.1 4.2 4.9 4.8 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.6 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.3 2.5 1.2
Region Championship 100% 3.8 123 0.4 4.1 16.3 75.5 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Caldwell 99.9% 37.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.8 2.2 2.1 1.9 2.1
Pat Zacharias 99.1% 117.3 0.0
Adam Bitchell 99.1% 134.8
Elmar Engholm 99.1% 139.8
Sean Stam 99.1% 143.7
Sam Evans 99.1% 186.3
Donovan Torres 99.1% 228.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Caldwell 7.6 1.2 5.2 7.4 10.5 10.8 9.4 8.6 7.2 5.9 4.6 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.8 2.0 1.8 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.5
Pat Zacharias 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.4 3.8 4.6 4.2 3.9 3.6 4.8
Adam Bitchell 27.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.4 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.3 3.6 4.2 3.7 4.3
Elmar Engholm 28.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.7 3.1 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.9 4.3
Sean Stam 29.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.5 1.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.2 3.9
Sam Evans 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0
Donovan Torres 55.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 1
2 4.1% 100.0% 4.1 4.1 2
3 16.3% 100.0% 1.2 6.3 5.4 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 16.3 3
4 75.5% 99.9% 0.5 4.2 10.0 13.6 16.9 13.6 7.5 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 75.5 4
5 3.0% 94.7% 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.8 5
6 0.5% 0.5 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 99.1% 0.4 4.1 1.2 6.8 9.6 13.0 14.5 17.7 14.2 7.9 4.6 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 4.5 94.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wisconsin 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Princeton 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Northern Arizona 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Syracuse 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Eastern Kentucky 98.9% 1.0 1.0
Indiana 98.6% 1.0 1.0
Portland 92.2% 1.0 0.9
Notre Dame 88.9% 1.0 0.9
UCLA 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Virginia 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Iowa State 53.5% 1.0 0.5
Texas A&M 52.7% 2.0 1.1
Kansas 41.8% 1.0 0.4
Arizona State 38.4% 1.0 0.4
North Carolina St. 20.7% 2.0 0.4
Minnesota 10.7% 1.0 0.1
Washington 7.0% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 5.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 2.5% 2.0 0.1
Penn State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Providence 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 0.3% 1.0 0.0
North Carolina 0.2% 2.0 0.0
McNeese State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Navy 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 13.6
Minimum 8.0
Maximum 20.0